Original Message -----
Sent: Friday, December 31, 2004 1:22 PM
Subject: Re: Big California Earthquake Long Overdue
Thanks for the email. The
Quake Prep list below is very good (to print too?).
Where it says: "Those on silt fill on the Hayward Fault along the
East Bay may be in for some serious quaking"
fyi: A few decades ago it was
finally realized that Eleven Hospitals were built 'on top of' the
In one case a new housing
tract on the side of the East Hills had it's water tank (above the
homes) in a notch that was later determined to be a tributary of the
Hayward fault. So we need to look around us and anticipate what and
where things might change -
Original Message -----
Friday, December 31, 2004 12:59 PM
Fw: Big California Earthquake Long Overdue
Original Message -----
Sent: Friday, December 31, 2004 12:04 PM
Subject: GN: Big California Earthquake Long Overdue
In view of the disaster in S.E.Asia it seems appropriate to post this
information prepared by Forest Glen Durland on Free Republic.
Americans better face the FACT that there won't be anyone out there
sending any aid to Americans like Bush is sending to the Tsunami folks.
California Earthquake Long Overdue
12-30-04 | Forest Glen Durland
Posted on 12/30/2004 10:39:09 PM PST by forest
Some officials say the long overdue big earthquake in
California is due any time.(1)(2) Sure, it’s all guesstimation --
Nobody knows for sure what is exactly going on beneath our feet -- and
our houses and trees. But as knowledge from modern research is
assembled, better forecasts can be given. This discussion is primarily
for the San Francisco Bay Area.
It seems that major quakes occur near sunrise or sunset. The Loma
Prieta Quake about 15 years ago hit late in the afternoon. The recent
mag 9 in Sumatra in 2004 hit early in the morning. (13)
The SF peninsula people are lucky -- I hope. Much of the ground is
solid and should not amplify the quake. So that is good news. But it
could last longer. But the areas next to the bay that are built on fill
could encounter much greater movement due to amplification.
Those on silt fill on the Hayward Fault along the East Bay may be in
for some serious quaking. To locate the Hayward Fault, simply draw a
line along all the hospitals and universities.(3) All that stuff is
sitting smack dab on top of the Hayward Fault on fill which will
magnify the quake. The East Bay cities could be leveled.
But they don’t get to hog all the fun. The huge electrical power lines
that supply Silicone Valley pass over the hills east of Oakland, or
thereabouts. Those towers are about two hundred feet high and might
come tumbling down amid great sparks and flashes. You better hope you
have spike protection, such as a UPS, protecting your computers and
other electronics. Some phone lines go directly into the brains of a
Without electrical power, pumps won’t pump water for drinking and
sewage. And pumps won’t pump potty poopoo to the poopoo plant. With
luck the sewer lines have been laid properly and gravity will furnish
the power. But the treatment plants won’t treat and will back up.
Plants on silt along the bay may be destroyed. There could be a monster
problem here. Neither will your toilets refill themselves. Better get a
portable potty like campers use. Chemicals kill the smell.
Without power, pumps will not pump natural gas to your stoves. Better
have some propane camp stoves handy.
But then, maybe our government servants will have had the forethought
to have huge diesel powered generators ready to keep basic services
Many conveniences we take for granted will probably be out for at least
two weeks, maybe over a month. Let’s hope the terrorists do not
capitalize on this dilemma.
One might wonder if martial law will ensue, and for how long. History
has shown that once politicians get power, they are loathe to release
it. Do we need that? Some citizens are well prepared to take care of
their own homes. And, incidentally, that is exactly what our
Forefathers intended for us to do.
Then there is Yellowstone. Hundreds of acres of ground around
Yellowstone are so hot that people wearing shoes can not walk on it. A
mound has pushed up over a hundred feet in Yellowstone Lake. One of the
largest volcanoes in the world lingers below Yellowstone National Park,
fueling all those hot wonders. Scientists have discovered that it has
erupted regularly about every 600,000 years and is about 40,000 years
overdue for the current blast. When she blows, she will cover over half
the United States with ash. (10)
California may be just out of reach, but there may be a system of
faults running from Yellowstone to the San Andreas Fault, which is the
Bay Area. The size of the Yellowstone volcano just might trigger
volcanos in California. Mt. Shasta is considered active (as is Mt.
Rainier up in Washington State.) There is another super volcano over in
eastern California. That could smart. The highest peak in the
continental United States is Mt. Whitney, another volcano in east
central California. (4)(5)(6)(7)(8)(9)(12)
It seems that Mother Nature has some excitement planned for California.
Where I am sitting in Saratoga might be as safe a place as any.
There is not a dang thing we can do about nature’s ranting and raving,
but we can prepare for it to make life easier while we ride it out.
Following is a list of the many conveniences we take for granted and
thoughts about preparing for their absence.
Water Fuel Food and Cooking Heating Lighting
Computers Falling, Breaking Power Roads Communication Cash
Storage Cans. White for water, red
for gasoline, blue for kerosene. Do NOT mix.
Water, drinking. Get some jugs and water at a Pure Water
Store, whose bottles are ROUND. Or get some WHITE, 6 gallon plastic
containers. Mark as drinking water. Do NOT store water in pete bottles.
(Look at the bottom.) They out gas poisons into the water. HDPE and PC
(polycarbonate) are good. Have at least two week’s supply. A good water
filter would be handy if you live near a creek. Just remember that all
creeks in cities are plenty polluted. A proven filter is a necessity.
Chlorine does NOT kill viruses, but boiling does.
Water, toilet flush. Do NOT flush every time. You might
consider a portable potty like campers use. Chemicals or lime will
lessen the smell. Get some WHITE, 6 gallon plastic containers. Mark
your WHITE water bottles either drinking or flushing. DO NOT MIX,
unless both are palatable, or you want diarrhea at a time of limited
Fuel. It will be camping time. BE CAREFUL OF CARBON MONOXIDE
POISONING. ALLOW VENTILATION. CO is odorless and invisible. Outside, no
problem. Inside, be careful. Better chilly than dead. Do not burn fuel
in a tightly enclosed room. Burning uses oxygen and can be deadly.
Food and Cooking. Get cases of food you would normally eat to
prevent waste. Unless you have a generator or marine battery, your
fridge and freezer will soon be warm. Canned, dried and powdered are
your remaining options. A good camp stove using a small propane tank is
handy. Or, you could eat cold out of the can.
Heating. Camp heaters or a propane stove will take the chill
off. Allow ventilation. Have warm clothes ready.
Lighting. Good flashlights and camp lanterns are a must. Get
MANY extra batteries. Fluorescent tubes take much less power than
incandescent bulbs. LED lights take even less power. A propane powered
camp lantern with mantles is great and very bright.
Computers. If you value the information on your computer, MAKE
BACKUPS DAILY. That is the first rule. Burning info to CDs is a snap
now and only costs two bits. You must have your computer and other
sensitive electronic devices on a UPS (uninterruptible power supply)
that contains a surge protector that kicks in within in a few
nanoseconds. When those big power lines, or even lesser ones, go down,
wires will cross, sending a monster surge of high voltage and high
wattage toward your house. Without a UPS, your electronics will be
fried to a crisp. Telephone lines go directly into the heart of your
computer, so put your telephone lines on the UPS also. That includes
internet phones lines and cable wires. The cable wires should have a
modem that will take the guff. Better it fries than your computer.
An even worse surge can happen when power is restored. That first surge
from the power plant can be huge. So leave your electrical equipment
off until power is back and stable.
Falling and breaking. There will be a whole lot of shaking,
rattling and rolling going on. You are not going to stop this band.
It’s going to play, ready or not. So you might as well get in step.
Strap down your computer and monitor. Tie big speakers to the ceiling.
Put bungee cords on your cupboard handles. Put straps across book
shelves. Etc etc. In short, tie down anything that is breakable, or
that can break something else if it falls. If you have cracked or
rotten limbs overhead at your house, better call the tree trimmer now.
It will be cheaper. On solid ground on the peninsula, I do not expect
big items like reefers (refrigerators) to topple. It’s the smaller
things that will move. On fill, especially in the East Bay, good luck.
Power. No stores, no gas. Your place won’t be the only place
without power. When the electricity goes out, so do all the doors and
checkout stands at the stores. All the pumps at the gas stations will
be out. With stores closed you won’t buy anything. Today you better get
a RED plastic can or two of gasoline, just in case the roads are
passable. And get those needed auto repairs done now, not after the big
A gasoline powered generator would be handy. Do NOT hook to the house
electrical circuit, unless you savvy that stuff. Use extension cords.
Consider noise and ease of starting when purchasing a generator. Vent
Another option is a jump start, the kind made for starting cars. The
best one I have found is at Costco, who also has deep cell marine
batteries. Get their 1500 continuous watt inverter and you have a great
system. Unlike car batteries which are designed to keep voltage up,
marine batteries are designed to supply power and keep on going until
fully discharged. A marine battery and a good inverter are so reliable
they can be used to power comptures and sound equipment for a band.
Roads. Bridges out, wires down. When the big one hits, things
will topple onto roads. There are trees, tree limbs, wires of all
kinds, etc. There are also bridges. People do not realize how many
bridges are between work and home. Count them next time you commute.
Bridges include over crossings, under crossings, tunnels (now there’s a
fun thought), and plain old bridges, like across rivers and bays. Some
of those get mighty lengthy. Maybe you had better include a good pair
of walking shoes in your backpack, along with a bottle of water and
some nourishing snacks. (And a swim suit if you happen to be on the Bay
Bridge. But maybe they put on all the nuts this time. Hmm... that was
the Oakland elevated freeway.)
Communication. With no electricity, Ma Bell won’t work. That
means no land line phones. How about cell phones? They work off
satellites, reflector antennas and long wire antennas. In the East Bay
those antennas will probably bite the dust. You might be in luck with
satellites. I just don’t know. Any battery powered radio will tune into
the disaster frequency, if it’s working. Doctors and ambulances will be
stalled, so better think about injuries and treatment.
Cash. Keep enough cash on hand to see you through. Credit
cards will probably be useless with no power.
Summary. Think about it and do some homework. A little prep
can make the inevitable much easier.
Big California quake any time.
Probabilities. Great Maps. Looks like we will be moving.
Hayward fault map.
Yellowstone Quake caused wells to fluctuate. Moving maps.
Relation of ruptures.
Alaska triggered California.
Map of big quakes.
Big Alaska quake triggered quakes in California and Yellowstone.
Alaska quake triggered quakes in Yellowstone and thermal spots in
Yellowstone erupts every 600K years, covering half the United States
Best for facts. Hot dirt closed trails.
Time of Sumatra quake.
Forest Glen Durland, Saratoga, CA. Copyright 8-12-04